Aquino's lead steadily falling: SWS chief
Mangahas: C-5 issue hurts Villar in Metro Manila
MANILA, Philippines (1st UPDATE) - The presidential surveys conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS) since December 2009 show a consistent decline in support for Liberal Party (LP) standard-bearer Benigno 'Noynoy' Aquino III, according to SWS president Mahar Mangahas.
In an interview on ANC's Dateline Philippines on Tuesday, Mangahas said what's clear from the four presidential surveys conducted by SWS from December 5-10, 2009 to February 24-28 2010 is that Aquino's lead is now much smaller.
The latest SWS survey, commissioned by the newspaper BusinessWorld, and e-mailed Tuesday to news organizations by the camp of Nacionalista Party (NP) presidential bet Manny Villar, showed Aquino's lead down to only 2 percentage points, with Aquino at 36% and Villar at 34%.
"Ang talagang conclusion diyan ay napakaliit na [ang lead ni Aquino] compared to before. That's very clear," Mangahas said.
Aquino's lead over Villar was 19 points in December 5-10, 2009, 11 points in December 27-28, 2009, 7 points in January 21-24, 2010, and 2 points in February 24-28.
"If you look at our series, talagang steadily, steadily paliit ng paliit. So ngayon, nasa 2 (point lead si Aquino)," he added.
Mangahas disagreed with interpretations of the latest SWS survey results which described the two leading presidential candidates in a statistical tie.
Given the margin of error of 2%, Mangahas said Aquino may actually be leading by 4 percentage points.
He said the correct way of interpreting the results of the latest survey is that it's either a statistical tie or that Aquino has a 4 percentage point lead.
C-5 affects Villar in Metro Manila
Mangahas also said another important shift in the February 24-28, 2010 survey results is the drop in Villar's ratings in Metro Manila.
In the National Capital Region, Villar's ratings fell from 26% in January 21-24, 2010 to 20% in February 24-28, a drop of 6 percentage points.
"Villar fell in Metro Manila, and the second-placer is actually Erap," Mangahas said. "It's Noynoy, Erap and then Villar in Metro Manila."
"So para sa akin, this issue about the C-5 could be said to have had an effect in Metro Manila. Because doon siya talagang nahirapan, nahihirapan," he added.
However, Mangahas said Villar improved in the Visayas, which is why his overall ratings have been just steady since December.
"He [Villar] improved in Visayas kaya't medyo steady lang siya, at 1 puntos lang ang bawas niya unlike Noynoy who fell all around, in all parts of the country, kaya't nabawasan siya ng 6 points," he said.
He refused to say whether Villar's ads were responsible for the NP's survey ratings, adding that the SWS does not monitor ad spending.
"Hindi kasama yon sa analysis namin...at saka wala kaming special access sa mga ganoon (ads)," Mangahas said.
Asked why Aquino's ratings have fallen since December, Mangahas said he does not have the data that would explain the drop.
"We do not know the progress of the ads in all parts of the country. We don't have those additional bits of information," he said.
Mangahas said the SWS will have surveys in March, April and around a week before the May 10 elections.
If the last survey a week before May 10 would show the same results as the February 24-28, 2010 survey, Manghas said they would then say: "Well, we cannot call the winner because it's too small but it's a two-point lead and we have to say that at this point, mas llamado si Aquino ng konti."
The February 24-28, 2010 BW-SWS survey used face-to-face interviews with 2,100 registered voters. It has a margin of error of plus/minus 2%.
Villar, Aquino respond to SWS survey
Meanwhile, Villar said the results of the latest SWS polls are also reflected in the warm reception he and the rest of his team are getting in their sorties.
“Mas nagiging mainit ang pagtanggap sa atin saan man kami dumako at mas lalong nagiging buo ang grupo ng Nacionalista kasama ang aking running mate na si Loren Legarda,” he said in a statement.
He said he has been able to spread the word about what they intend to do if they win the polls through their sorties.
Villar said they are getting more support due to their message of hope plus a better grasp of his team's platform of government.
He added he was happy with the survey results and expressed hope he would soon overtake Aquino, who holds only a 2 percentage point lead.
Liberal Party campaign manager Florencio 'Butch' Abad, meanwhile, said the results of the SWS survey showed that their message of anti-corruption and good governance is holding.
“The campaign of Benigno Simeon “Noynoy” Aquino III is pleased with the results of the Social Weather Stations’ February 21 to 25 survey, which clearly shows that Aquino has retained his lead," he said.
“Despite our closest rival’s excessive, beyond-the-COMELEC-limit spending on TV ads and the obscenely funded propaganda machine, the people have maintained their trust in Noynoy Aquino’s candidacy," Abad said.
“What this survey tells us is that our message is holding and we must continue delivering that to places like the Samar Islands and Northern Luzon, where we see greater opportunities recruiting more supporters. For this purpose, the Aquino campaign intends to aggressively expand its volunteer base of 200,000 in these places," he added.
“Although the race has become tighter, we are confident that our message of change and freedom from corruption will hold sway in the end, and that the voters will make the right decision come the May elections," Abad said.
Printer-friendly version
Send to friend
Share your views
Sa PARAISO ni VILLAR, MARAMI NA SILA!
Naranasan mo na bang PUMATAY ng MAHIHIRAP?
Upang MAAGAW ang MUNTING dampa na bunga ng kanilang SIKAP?
Si Manny VILLAR! ARMALITE at DAHAS ang pangtapos sa MAHIHIRAP!
(Subaybayan ang kwentong buhay ng mga taong biktima ng LAND GRABBING ni VILLAR sa Paradise Park, San Pedro Laguna, sa Norzagaray, Bulacan, sa IloIlo, sa Las Pinas,. . . WOW! Malapit nang BUONG PILIPINAS!)
MANNY VILLAR!!! HINDI LAMANG C5 AT TAGA! ! !
ALAM AT GINAGAWA LAHAT NG KLASE NG PANGWAWALANGHIYA!!!
Ang Mga Senador ni Villar, Tunay na OPO-POPOSISYON !
GILBERT REMULLA, ADEL TAMANO, PIA CAYETANO, TOOTS OPLE , RAMON MITRA, GWEN PIMENTEL, SATUR OCAMPO, LIZA MAZA, BONGBONG MARCOS, ARIEL QUERUBIN, MIRRIAM DEFENSOR SANTIAGO, BONG REVILLA
OPO, Gusto naming maging BILYONARYO, tulad ni VILLAROYO!
OPO, PARARAMIHIN namin ang MAHIHIRAP para marami ang MANGARAP!
OPO, MagpapaTUTA kami kay MANNY, para EVERYBODY HAPPY!
OPO! OPO! OPO! OPO! OPO!OPO! OPO! OPO! OPO! OPO! OPO!OPO!
VILLAR IS A LIAR!!! CORRUPT!! HOW CAN WE TRUST HIM!!!?
PATI KAPATID NA NAMATAY GAMITIN BA SA PAG CAMPAIN!! YOUR A LIAR MANNY VILLAR! AND CORRUPT!!!!BASAHIN NYO ANG LETTER NG KATOTOHANAN!!!!!!!!How Manny Villar lied and used the death of his brother Danny
AS I WRECK THIS CHAIR By William M. Esposo (The Philippine Star) Updated March 28, 2010 12:00 AM
“Nakaranas na ba kayong ... mamatayan ng kapatid dahil wala kang pera pangpagamot (Have you experienced losing a brother because you did not have the money to provide him proper medical care)? — Manny Villar asked in his “PANATA (Advocacy)” TV commercial. Villar was referring to his younger brother Danny who passed away on October 1962. In the same commercial, Villar’s 1962 photo with his younger brother was shown.
This portrayal of being poor once upon a time is a fantasy which comes in a series of similar attempts by Villar to create empathy with the nearly 90% of voters who belong to the socio-economic classes D and E. However, this particular attempt to use his late brother Danny to further his political ambition showed that Villar is as capable of lying just like Madame Gloria Macapagal Arroyo (GMA).
Two public documents — the death certificate of Danny B. Villar and the Transfer Certificate of Title (TCT number: 135396/3194) of the 560 square meter property in the upper class San Rafael Village of Navotas where the Villars had lived when Danny died — shattered this ONCE POOR fantasy that Villar has been peddling.
What the San Rafael Village TCT presents:
1. Before 1962, the Villars bought 560 square meters (SQM) of high valued real estate on Bernardo Street in San Rafael Village where the more affluent folks in the Tondo-Navotas area resided.
2. The DEATH CERTIFICATE of the deceased Danny B. Villar established that they were already residing there in 1962.
3. Based on 2009 prices, the P16,000 GSIS (Government Service Insurance System) mortgage mentioned in the TCT — not necessarily the total cost of the two 280 SQM lots — is now the equivalent of P1,140,000.00. Poor people today cannot even borrow P200,000. Those who are familiar with the subdivision say that the cost per SQM in San Rafael Village today would be around P10,000 per SQM or an equivalent of around P5,600,000 for the entire property.
4. Jun Borres, the present owner who is using the 560 SQM property as offices of his firm, Jumbo Fishing, stated that when they bought it in 1987 - it had a one and a half floor house. The ground floor was made of concrete while the upstairs was made of wood. This was typical upper middle class and upper class dwelling in the 1960s.
Implications of the San Rafael Village ownership
1. Together with established Manny Villar bio information, they could not have been dirt poor to be able to move to San Rafael Village before 1962. His mother was a seafood (shrimp, crab and fish) dealer in Divisoria Market, not a fish vendor as what Villar tries to project. A seafood dealer supplies the vendors. For a family of 11, they ate canned corned beef — which Manny Villar admitted on his earlier TV ad. His father was a government official, said to be a Budget Officer of the then DANR (Department of Agriculture and Natural Resources) under which was the Fisheries Bureau. Manny Villar studied in private schools — the Holy Child Catholic School for elementary and Mapua Institute of Technology for High School. Poor folks send their kids to public schools.
2. Villar’s parents must have had a sizeable combined income to be able to buy the San Rafael Village property. The 560 SQM size demonstrates their financial capacity. If they could, poor people buy lots sized less than 100 SQMs. Villar’s father must also be making a sizeable income from the government to be able to borrow P16,000 from the GSIS. In 1962, senior executives in big corporations made monthly salaries of about P2,000.
What Danny B. Villar’s DEATH CERTIFICATE reveals:
1. It is NOT TRUE that Danny died because they were poor and could not afford proper health care. The stated residence in Danny’s death certificate was the San Rafael Village property.
2. The BIG LIE is further proved by the fact that Danny stayed 13 days at the FEU (Far Eastern University) Hospital where he expired at age 3 years and 8 months. If they were really poor, the PGH (Philippine General Hospital) would have been the affordable hospital to bring Danny. He was definitely given proper health care. FEU Hospital was one of the top hospitals in 1962, before the establishment of the Makati Medical Center and St. Luke’s Hospital.
3. Danny died from CARDIAC and RESPIRATORY FAILURE resulting from COMPLICATIONS OF LEUKEMIA. In 1962, there was no bone marrow transplantation and chemotherapy yet and everyone whether rich or poor died from contracting leukemia.
4. Upon Danny’s death, his remains were turned over to LA FUNERARIA PAZ — then, until now, considered one of the top two mortuaries (Funeraria Nacional, the other). This further disproved Manny Villar’s claim that Danny died because they did not have the money to take care of him.
When Iggy Arroyo was seen as having taken the Jose Pidal rap for his elder brother Mike, many folks felt that it was rather low of Mike Arroyo to place his younger brother at risk. Our culture expects the older brother to protect the younger brother.
In that regard, we can consider Manny Villar as having done worse than Mike Arroyo. At least, Iggy Arroyo was alive and kicking and he could have opted to stay out of the Jose Pidal controversy. But in the case of Manny and Danny Villar, Danny was used to promote a myth when Danny was in no position to agree to his elder brother Manny’s portrayal of his death.
With the propagation of this ONCE POOR fantasy, don’t you think that Manny Villar also desecrated the memory and honor of his parents who strove to be able to provide their children quality education and an upper class domicile?
If Manny Villar can lie and use his dead younger brother like this, what makes you think that he will really improve and not worsen your life? What makes you think that he is not as greedy as he is being charged in this presidential campaign? What makes you think that you can trust Manny Villar?
TANGA LANG ANG BOBOTO KAY VILLAR!! AYAN POH NAGPAPATUNAY!! ANG KATOTOHANAN NA GAMIT NYA SA CAMPAIN NA MAHIRAP!!?? BASAHIN MABUTI!!! YOUR A LIAR MANNY VILLAR DI KA DAPAT PANIWALAHAN!!!!! CORRUPT KA!!!!! SINUNGALING KA MANNY VILLAR!!!! GALING SA MAHIRAP PALA!! STYLE MO BULOK! ANO BABAWI KA SA MGA BILLIONS MO NAGASTOS SA MGA MAMAYANG FILIPINO?!!! MGA TANGA LANG ANG MANINIWALA SA IYO @ MANNY VILLAROYO!!!
MGA TALANGKA GUMISING KAYO!!MAG ISIP KAYO PAANO KAYO MAKATULONG SA BANSA!
IBAGSAK ang SABWATANG VILLAROYO
Hindi lingid sa kaalaman ng marami ang kasamaan na inihahasik ni CORRUPT VILLAR sa bansa natin. Ang nakakaalarma dito baka itanim sa isipan ng mga kabataan ang ganitong gawi ni CORRUPT VILLAR. Kawawa naman ang susunod na henerasyon. Ang pakikipagkutsaba kay GMA ay nagpapatunay lamang ng kanyang kahinaan. Alam niyang hindi siya uubra kay NOYNOY. Kayat gagawin ang lahat para lang iluklok ang sarili sa
MALAKANYANG.
Bakit kaya ang kanyang kaluluwa ay isinangla na sa IMPIYERNO? Maliwanag naman na isa siyang sinungaling, mandarambong sa kaban ng bayan , bilhin ang prinsipyo ng kapwa niyang pulitiko, utuin at linlangin ang mga magsasaka sa kanilang kapirasong lupa at ordinaryong tao na hangga ngayon ay umaasa na maibalik o mabayaran sila. Sa madalit sabi kinamkam ni CORRUPT VILLAR. Ingat tayo sa taong ito, dahil sa kanyang pagkaganid sa kapangyarihan at kayamanan isusuong ang sarili kahit impiyerno pa yan.
Ang sabwatang VILLAROYO, huwag tayong maging kampante dahil may PLANONG malawakang DAYAAN sa darating na botohan. Isa na lang ang kanilang pinoproblema ngayon ang mailuklok ang isa pang TUTA na CHIEF JUSTICE ng SUPREME COURT. Ang AFP CHIEF ay nailuklok na nila na isa sa mga mamumuno sa dayaan. Kaya ulit, HUWAG TAYONG MAGING KAMPANTE. MAPAGMATYAG, dahil ilan pa lang yan sa mga manlalaro ng SABWATANG VILLAROYO.
nakakahiya
bakit naman pati si noynoy kinompera kay presidente obama. ang layo naman. si presidente obama po may vison of change, si noynoy wala po. si presidente obama ay matalino law graduate sa harvard, si noynoy studiante ni Gloria sa Ateneo. si presidente obama ay abugado, si noynoy ay salesman ng sapatot.
PAMILYANG COJUANGCO-AQUINO
Ang pamilyang Cojuangco-Aquino ang may kinalaman sa Mendiola Massacre, Hacienda Luisita Tarlac Massacre at sa pagkamatay ng bayaning si Hen. Antonio Luna.
May tanong kayo?
----------
Don't label me I am original!
----------
BARANGAY ELECTION IS ANTI-CORRUPTION! NOW NA!
REJECT ALL ARROVO CLANDESTINE, ANTE-DATED AND MIDNIGHT APPOINTEES!
KICK OUT ALL ARROVO AGENTS WITHIN THE LIBERAL PARTY!
REJECT APPOINTMENT OF HILAR
IBASURA ABNOY AQUINO AND MONKEY VILLAROYO
Wala tayong mapapala sa mga ganid na ito. Parehong timawang sosyal. Ibasura natin ang mga pagmu-mukha ng mga ito.
Mga peke mahirap, mga pekeng tao.
----------
Don't label me I am original!
----------
BARANGAY ELECTION IS ANTI-CORRUPTION! NOW NA!
REJECT ALL ARROVO CLANDESTINE, ANTE-DATED AND MIDNIGHT APPOINTEES!
KICK OUT ALL ARROVO AGENTS WITHIN THE LIBERAL PARTY!
REJECT APPOINTMENT OF HILAR
agnat na tlga...
sa ganang amin lng po bilang ofw's d2 sa ibayong dagat.. if c monkeyliarroyo bobotuhin ng mga kababayan q... mga agnat na tlga cla... thks po!
dubliner
Sa PARAISO ni VILLAR
Naranasan mo na bang PUMATAY ng MAHIHIRAP?
Upang MAAGAW ang MUNTING dampa na bunga ng kanilang SIKAP?
Si Manny VILLAR! ARMALITE at DAHAS ang pangtapos sa MAHIHIRAP!
(Subaybayan ang kwentong buhay ng mga taong biktima ng LAND GRABBING
ni VILLAR sa Paradise Park, San Pedro Laguna, sa Norzagaray, Bulacan,
sa IloIlo, sa Las Pinas,. . . WOW! Malapit nang BUONG PILIPINAS!)
MANNY VILLAR!!! HINDI LAMANG C5 AT TAGA! ! !
ALAM AT GINAGAWA LAHAT NG KLASE NG PANGWAWALANGHIYA!!!
KUNG SI NOYNOY LANG BAKA MAGALING PA SI GLORIA
PALAGING PINIPILIT NILA SI NOYNOY BILANG PRESIDENTE. KUNG SI NOYNOY LANG MABUTI PA SI GLORIA O PWEDE RIN ANG JUNTA. WALA SILANG MAPAPALA KAY NOYNOY KUNDI GUTOM. PWEDE SI NOYNOY SA MARIKINA SA GAWAAN NG SAPATOS.
IBAGSAK ang SABWATANG VILLAROYO
Hindi lingid sa kaalaman ng marami ang kasamaan na inihahasik ni CORRUPT VILLAR sa bansa natin. Ang nakakaalarma dito baka itanim sa isipan ng mga kabataan ang ganitong gawi ni CORRUPT VILLAR. Kawawa naman ang susunod na henerasyon. Ang pakikipagkutsaba kay GMA ay nagpapatunay lamang ng kanyang kahinaan. Alam niyang hindi siya uubra kay NOYNOY. Kayat gagawin ang lahat para lang iluklok ang sarili sa
MALAKANYANG.
Bakit kaya ang kanyang kaluluwa ay isinangla na sa IMPIYERNO? Maliwanag naman na isa siyang sinungaling, mandarambong sa kaban ng bayan , bilhin ang prinsipyo ng kapwa niyang pulitiko, utuin at linlangin ang mga magsasaka sa kanilang kapirasong lupa at ordinaryong tao na hangga ngayon ay umaasa na maibalik o mabayaran sila. Sa madalit sabi kinamkam ni CORRUPT VILLAR. Ingat tayo sa taong ito, dahil sa kanyang pagkaganid sa kapangyarihan at kayamanan isusuong ang sarili kahit impiyerno pa yan.
Ang sabwatang VILLAROYO, huwag tayong maging kampante dahil may PLANONG malawakang DAYAAN sa darating na botohan. Isa na lang ang kanilang pinoproblema ngayon ang mailuklok ang isa pang TUTA na CHIEF JUSTICE ng SUPREME COURT. Ang AFP CHIEF ay nailuklok na nila na isa sa mga mamumuno sa dayaan. Kaya ulit, HUWAG TAYONG MAGING KAMPANTE. MAPAGMATYAG, dahil ilan pa lang yan sa mga manlalaro ng SABWATANG VILLAROYO.