Monsod: 7.3% GDP growth not exactly commendable

Posted at 05/30/2010 6:06 PM | Updated as of 06/01/2010 12:28 PM

MANILA, Philippines --The Philippine economy grew by a surprising 7.3% in the first quarter of 2010, and Malacañang was quick to claim that it was the economy's fastest pace in almost three years. 

But not a few questioned the figures.

Former Budget Secretary Benjamin Diokno said the numbers may all be for show, and the high growth was mainly due to the low base caused by the effect of the global recession.

Think-tank Ibon Foundation expressed puzzlement over the figure, citing continued underdevelopment in the country tempered by persistent unprecedented high unemployment and poor quality work. (full article on http://info.ibon.org/)

Malacañang hit back at critics, telling them to take up the issue with the agencies tasked to project Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Gross National Product (GNP) figures.

Speaking on government-run dzRB radio, deputy presidential spokesman Gary Olivar questioned the objectivity of former Diokno and IBON Foundation in contesting the GDP statistics.

"Itong data lumabas, 7.3% year-on-year first quarter ng GDP, 9.5% ng GNP, ito galing sa National Statistics Office at National Statistics Coordination Board (NSCB) na may professional statisticians. Sila ang kastiguhin ninyo, huwag ang Palasyo," Olivar said.

In defense of statistics office

Amid the reactions, UP School of Economics Prof. Solita Monsod defended the NSCB.

"If Malacañang had any influence at all on NSCB, I think the NSCB secretary-general (Romulo Virola) would quit." Monsod said.

"I have great confidence in national income statisticians. They're doing a good job. They seem to be quite transparent about their accounting and methodology. They are a professional set, they realize their shortcomings, they're very open about it, but there is absolutely no indication that there is padding of that data."

Citing NSCB's figures in an interview on ANC's Dateline Philippines on Sunday, Monsod said the growth was on the production side, and it was largely in the industrial sector.

Considering it did not come from the agriculture sector, and how it compared to the country's Asian neighbors, the figure was not exactly commendable, said Monsod.

"All other countries in the region posted higher growth than expected. The Philippines' growth is not as high as the rest," Monsod said, citing Thailand's economy grew 12%.

"When the economy grew by 7.3%, unfortunately agriculture contracted. We question why we grew by 7.3%, we should question why we grew so low," she added.

Monsod said the situation on the ground may be a better point of reference than government's economic figures. She said that last year, the Arroyo government posted higher growth than previous administrations, but it also saw an increase in poverty.

Fiscal constraints

Today, fiscal constraints continue to weigh down the country's economy, said Monsod.

"Most analysts have said, one of the reasons why we are not growing as fast as other countries like Indonesia and Vietnam, is because there are very serious constraints on our growth, and one of these is the fiscal constraint. We don't have the resources and the infrastructure, which is very poor compared to the rest of Asia," she said.

Agriculture sector is key

Monsod said reaping gains in agriculture would be a good way to really boost the national economy. She also urged the incoming administration to look at the indicators of growth to make sure the figures trickle down to majority of Filipinos.

"Instead of fighting if these figures are accurate or not, can we please concentrate on the agriculture sector? What can we do to help this government, to help people in agriculture who experienced contraction in sectoral growth," Monsod said.

The agricultural sector suffers from low productivity, low economies-of-scale, and insufficient infrastructure. It employs more than one-third of the work force, but provides less than a fifth of GDP.
 

 


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3 comments

Do you still believe critics like diokno

Ever since naman doomsday scenario ang analysis ni diokno since time pa ni GMA. Unfortunately abscbn always interviews and believes him kasi galit sila kay arroyo. The growth figures that are being reported now are mostly during the time pa ni GMA na laging pinagdududahan. Now suddenly the statistics during the past administration eh binibida na ng administration ni noynoy. Actually, during the presention nila sa US, they presented economic trends report pa ng past administration to encourage businessmen to invest here in our country. I hope noynoy continue the uptrend.


Until we get rid of CARP, our

Until we get rid of CARP, our agricultural sector will never grow as much as we need it to.


Electronics Export

Our economists should believe this growth. They missed mentioning the manufacturing sector,esp semiconductor and electronics, even Prof. Monsod failed to mention in QTV News about this sector. Our company, a multinational semiconductor, is in RECORD HIGHS(I'd like to underline these last 2 words) in exporting semiconductor/electronics parts to various parts of the world which driving the earnings and growth for our country. I believe this industry has always been a back burner and lesser priority in the media that is why they missed it. It is time for Jessica Soho or Korina Sanchez to feature integrated circuit/electronis manufacturing for politicians and people to appreciate why electronics is our top export product. The Philippines is exporting great products: MEMS (tiny machines in small packages) for automotive apps, high-reliable IC's for Aerospace applications (Space Shuttle, Sattellite & Aviations) and other great IC's for unusual applications.



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